BLOSSOM WISH JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 10 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$40.12
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $35.10 from 41 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.94%
7,181 openings, odds method
Variance
4.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 15
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
82.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values41 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7,249 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/blossom-wish-joker, 12 Nov, 02:49 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $40.12 | 87.50% | 41 |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $40.07 | 87.50% | 41 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $40.38 | 87.50% | 41 |
| 10 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $39.94 | 88.50% | 41 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 7.5%red 5.8%sunny 3.3%rare 2.5%Ancient 0.8%pink 8.9%classified 2.8%Legendary 0.8%Classified 0.8%blue 23.3%violet 13.3%gray 13.3%blueLight 3.3%#d32ce6 3.3%restricted 3.3%Uncommon 3.3%common 3.3%best hit —