CANDY SHOP JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$112.87
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $98.76 from 63 items
Observed RTP, 30d
85.87%
525 openings, odds method
Variance
0.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.7%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
63.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values63 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 577 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/candy-shop-joker, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $113 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $113 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $113 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $113 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $113 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $113 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $113 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $114 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $113 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $113 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $113 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $114 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $114 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $114 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $114 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $114 | 87.50% | 63 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedgold 6.9%covert 20.1%sunny 1.7%extraordinary 6.9%rare 8.6%Ancient 12.6%Immortal 1.7%classified 17.6%Covert 1.7%red 1.7%pink 10.0%uncommon 1.4%Legendary 1.4%restricted 2.6%Mythical 3.4%#d32ce6 0.7%violet 0.9%best hit —