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Dice$1,5711.01xDice$1,5711.01xDice$1,5711.01xDr Rip$1,08053.95xDice$1,5711.01xDice$1,5711.01xPlinko$1,76150.00xDice$1,5711.01xDice$1,5711.01xTürkçe Crazy Time$2,05210.25xLimbo$1,1211.01xDice$1,5711.01xMadame Destiny Megaways$47.66199.7xGoat Run$1,0491.14xWild Coyote Megaways$1,16314.52xSweet Rush Bonanza$1,3783.83xLimbo$1,1211.01xDice$1,6901.32xLimbo$1,1211.01xLimbo$1,1211.01xDice$1,5711.01xDice$1,5711.01xDice$3,3791.32xLimbo$1,1211.01x

DART CLUB

A case on Casehug (REGULAR CASES), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

Price
$6.25
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $5.47 from 72 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.64%
7,603 openings, odds method
Variance
1.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.4%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
67.3%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
86.58%±8.48837 openings
7 days
86.67%±3.046,274 openings
30 days
86.64%±2.747,603 openings
since tracking started
86.64%±2.747,603 openings
77.5%86.5%95.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h83786.58%±8.48−0.2σodds
7d6,27486.67%±3.04−0.5σodds
30d7,60386.64%±2.74−0.6σodds
All7,60386.64%±2.74−0.6σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values72 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7,621 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 10,000$4060.7%00.8—
★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny1 in 5,000$1520.6%11.50.66×
AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 10,000$1350.2%00.8—
AK-47 | The Empress (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 10,000$1290.2%00.8—
AK-47 | The Empress (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 10,000$1220.2%00.8—
Desert Eagle | Code Red (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 3,333$52.110.3%02.30.00×
Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 3,333$50.860.3%02.30.00×
MAC-10 | Stalker (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 3,333$47.020.3%02.30.00×
MAC-10 | Stalker (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 2,500$45.030.3%03.00.00×
AWP | Chrome Cannon (Field-Tested)weapon · red1 in 2,000$35.520.3%03.80.00×
FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink1 in 5,000$34.610.1%01.50.00×
M4A1-S | Guardian (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 2,500$34.130.2%03.00.00×
AWP | Chrome Cannon (Well-Worn)weapon · red1 in 2,000$33.480.3%03.80.00×
P90 | Death Grip (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 5,000$30.650.1%01.50.00×
SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary1 in 909$29.480.6%48.40.48×
FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 3,333$29.390.2%02.30.00×
FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 3,333$28.760.2%02.30.00×
P90 | Death Grip (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet1 in 5,000$28.600.1%01.50.00×
FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 3,333$27.430.2%02.30.00×
M4A1-S | Guardian (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 1,429$26.560.3%05.30.00×
USP-S | Monster Mashup (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 42$22.669.9%103182.90.56×
P90 | Death Grip (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 119$19.403.0%064.00.00×
P90 | Death Grip (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet1 in 114$18.933.0%067.10.00×
AWP | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear)weapon · uncommon1 in 313$17.521.0%024.40.00×
UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 133$16.552.3%057.20.00×
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 154$15.431.8%049.50.00×
AK-47 | Midnight Laminate (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 238$15.411.2%032.00.00×
UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 54$15.325.2%0140.20.00×
MP9 | Hydra (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 41$15.066.7%0185.20.00×
UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Field-Tested)weapon · pink1 in 48$14.375.5%0159.30.00×
UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 46$14.115.6%0164.60.00×
Nova | Clear Polymer (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet1 in 147$11.981.5%051.80.00×
SSG 08 | Parallax (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet1 in 123$11.301.7%061.70.00×
AWP | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested)weapon · pink1 in 96$8.311.6%079.30.00×
AK-47 | Midnight Laminate (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 175$7.850.8%043.40.00×
MP9 | Food Chain (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink1 in 115$7.511.2%066.30.00×
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 103$7.471.3%073.90.00×
XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 58$7.332.3%0131.80.00×
MP9 | Hydra (Field-Tested)weapon · pink1 in 26$7.055.0%0298.00.00×
XM1014 | Incinegator (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 49$6.772.5%0154.70.00×
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 141$6.730.9%054.10.00×
XM1014 | Incinegator (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 47$6.592.6%0163.10.00×
AWP | Ice Coaled (Well-Worn)weapon · uncommon1 in 57$6.392.1%0134.10.00×
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 70$5.651.5%0108.20.00×
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary1 in 77$5.571.3%099.10.00×
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 71$5.271.4%0107.50.00×
MP9 | Food Chain (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 74$5.011.2%0103.60.00×
AWP | Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 41$4.381.9%0183.70.00×
SSG 08 | Parallax (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 75$4.131.0%0101.40.00×
MP9 | Food Chain (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 55$4.071.4%0138.70.00×
MP9 | Food Chain (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 54$4.051.4%0140.20.00×
AK-47 | Midnight Laminate (Well-Worn)weapon · violet1 in 63$3.551.0%0120.40.00×
Nova | Clear Polymer (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 59$3.301.0%0129.60.00×
AK-47 | Midnight Laminate (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 56$3.241.1%0137.20.00×
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 58$3.151.0%0131.10.00×
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Well-Worn)weapon · violet1 in 48$2.751.0%0158.50.00×
AK-47 | Midnight Laminate (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet1 in 43$2.721.1%0175.30.00×
SSG 08 | Parallax (Well-Worn)weapon · violet1 in 42$2.721.2%0182.10.00×
Nova | Clear Polymer (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet1 in 41$2.541.1%0187.50.00×
Nova | Clear Polymer (Well-Worn)weapon · violet1 in 39$2.481.2%0193.60.00×
SSG 08 | Parallax (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet1 in 36$2.451.2%0211.10.00×
Galil AR | Stone Cold (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 39$2.361.1%0195.90.00×
USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 139$1.210.2%054.90.00×
AWP | Arsenic Spill (Factory New)weapon · milspec1 in 73$0.800.2%0104.40.00×
USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 69$0.730.2%0110.50.00×
AWP | Arsenic Spill (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue1 in 38$0.500.2%0201.20.00×
AWP | Arsenic Spill (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blue1 in 32$0.440.3%0240.80.00×
AWP | Arsenic Spill (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec1 in 28$0.400.3%0275.10.00×
USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Well-Worn)weapon · blue1 in 28$0.380.3%0275.90.00×
AWP | Arsenic Spill (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec1 in 25$0.370.3%0306.40.00×
USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 21$0.310.3%0366.60.00×
USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 19$0.290.3%0391.70.00×
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from casehug:cases/dart-club, 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Galil AR | Stone Coldweapon · violet$6.25$3.100.50x
AWP | Arsenic Spillweapon · blue$6.25$0.460.07x
Galil AR | Stone Coldweapon · violet$6.25$3.100.50x
AWP | Arsenic Spillweapon · blue♔ Pencu$ ♕$6.25$0.460.07x
XM1014 | Incinegatorweapon · pink$6.25$6.871.10x
MP9 | Food Chainweapon · pink$6.25$4.790.77x
SSG 08 | Parallaxweapon · violetlolo2316$6.25$3.830.61x
USP-S | Tropical Breezeweapon · blue$6.25$0.400.06x
AWP | Arsenic Spillweapon · blueDumek SKINS$6.25$0.460.07x
USP-S | Tropical Breezeweapon · blue$6.25$0.400.06x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 14:41 UTC$6.2587.50%72
10 Nov, 20:31 UTC$6.2587.50%72
10 Nov, 14:25 UTC$6.2587.37%72
10 Nov, 02:18 UTC$6.2587.35%72
9 Nov, 20:14 UTC$6.2587.43%72
9 Nov, 02:04 UTC$6.2587.32%72
9 Nov, 00:05 UTC$6.2587.78%72
8 Nov, 23:35 UTC$6.2587.32%72
8 Nov, 17:31 UTC$6.2587.78%72
8 Nov, 05:24 UTC$6.2587.45%72
7 Nov, 23:20 UTC$6.2587.51%72
7 Nov, 17:16 UTC$6.2587.45%72
6 Nov, 17:00 UTC$6.2587.72%72
6 Nov, 04:54 UTC$6.2587.41%72
5 Nov, 22:50 UTC$6.2587.71%72
5 Nov, 16:46 UTC$6.2587.41%72
5 Nov, 10:43 UTC$6.2587.71%72
4 Nov, 22:36 UTC$6.2587.15%72
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC$6.2587.35%72
3 Nov, 22:42 UTC$6.2587.77%72
3 Nov, 10:08 UTC$6.2587.48%72
2 Nov, 21:41 UTC$6.2587.75%72
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 0.2%sunny 0.0%red 0.1%pink 18.6%classified 16.9%restricted 5.9%Legendary 1.4%violet 20.2%uncommon 2.1%Mythical 2.8%#8847ff 1.3%#4b69ff 10.7%milspec 5.0%Rare 1.5%blue 9.4%Mil Spec 4.0%best hit —