Price
$51.18
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $44.78 from 72 items
Observed RTP, 30d
84.60%
901 openings, odds method
Variance
2.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 12
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values72 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 915 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/dart-club-joker, 12 Nov, 08:52 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov, 08:52 UTC | $51.18 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 12 Nov, 02:49 UTC | $51.30 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC | $51.48 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $51.30 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $51.48 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $51.31 | 87.51% | 72 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $51.51 | 87.49% | 72 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $50.95 | 87.49% | 72 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $50.46 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $50.28 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $50.46 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $49.54 | 87.51% | 72 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $50.47 | 87.51% | 72 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $49.54 | 87.51% | 72 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $48.98 | 87.49% | 72 |
| 5 Nov, 10:43 UTC | $49.23 | 87.51% | 72 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $48.98 | 87.49% | 72 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $49.69 | 87.50% | 72 |
| 3 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $49.53 | 87.50% | 72 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 17.4%sunny 4.3%red 4.3%classified 19.8%pink 16.3%Legendary 5.2%restricted 5.4%violet 12.6%uncommon 2.2%Mythical 2.6%#8847ff 1.1%#4b69ff 2.6%milspec 1.7%Rare 0.9%blue 2.6%Mil Spec 0.9%best hit —