DUEL JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$117.67
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $102.96 from 55 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.26%
529 openings, odds method
Variance
1.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
14.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
66.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values55 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 530 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/duel-joker, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $118 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $118 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $119 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $120 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $119 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $120 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $120 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $120 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $120 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $119 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $120 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $122 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $121 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $121 | 87.50% | 55 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 36.7%classified 7.4%rare 3.7%red 9.6%Mythical 1.5%Ancient 4.6%Covert 0.9%uncommon 4.3%Legendary 1.2%pink 1.9%remarkable 3.7%#8847ff 1.5%violet 3.0%restricted 1.5%#d32ce6 3.7%gray 7.4%Consumer Grade 3.7%grey 3.7%best hit $616 (5.13x)