ELECTRONIC JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$514.70
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $450.37 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.90%
157 openings, odds method
Variance
0.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
35.7%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
57.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 167 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunny | 14.3% | $1,123 | 35.6% | 29 | 23.9 | 1.22× |
| ★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · covert | 1 in 14 | $831 | 13.2% | 0 | 11.9 | 0.00× |
| ★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert | 14.3% | $823 | 26.1% | 23 | 23.9 | 0.96× |
| ★ M9 Bayonet | Autotronic (Well-Worn)knife · covert | 1 in 14 | $787 | 12.5% | 0 | 11.9 | 0.00× |
| ★ Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested)knife · covert | 14.3% | $287 | 9.1% | 20 | 23.9 | 0.84× |
| Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Factory New)weapon · classified | 14.3% | $105 | 3.3% | 25 | 23.9 | 1.05× |
| USP-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted | 14.3% | $3.90 | 0.1% | 20 | 23.9 | 0.84× |
| M4A1-S | Night Terror (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted | 14.3% | $0.80 | 0.0% | 25 | 23.9 | 1.05× |
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/electronic-joker, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $515 | 87.50% | 8 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $513 | 87.50% | 8 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $523 | 87.50% | 8 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $520 | 87.50% | 8 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $521 | 87.50% | 8 |
| 7 Nov, 05:08 UTC | $522 | 87.50% | 8 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $523 | 87.50% | 8 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $525 | 87.50% | 8 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $528 | 87.50% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedsunny 14.3%covert 42.9%classified 14.3%restricted 28.6%best hit $1,179 (2.24x)