EMPRESS JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$76.15
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $66.63 from 46 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.74%
349 openings, odds method
Variance
3.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 14
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
83.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values46 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 423 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/empress-joker, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $76.15 | 87.50% | 46 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $76.65 | 87.50% | 46 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $76.57 | 87.50% | 46 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $77.53 | 87.50% | 46 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $77.20 | 87.50% | 46 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $77.35 | 87.50% | 46 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $77.85 | 87.50% | 46 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $77.72 | 87.50% | 46 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $77.85 | 87.50% | 46 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $77.60 | 87.50% | 46 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $78.47 | 87.50% | 46 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $78.33 | 87.50% | 46 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $77.91 | 87.50% | 46 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 18.5%classified 13.9%restricted 23.1%red 3.7%Legendary 2.8%pink 5.6%Mythical 8.8%#8847ff 5.6%violet 6.9%blue 5.6%milspec 3.7%#4b69ff 1.9%best hit $621 (7.94x)