FARM GLOVES
A case on Casehug (FARM CASES), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$3.00
Advertised RTP
86.92%
EV $2.61 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
82.24%
25.8K openings, odds method
Variance
23.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 41
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
97.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 25.8K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Battle-Scarred)gloves · rare | 1 in 3,846 | $244 | 2.4% | 4 | 6.7 | 0.60× |
| ★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 243 | $96.19 | 15.2% | 99 | 106.1 | 0.93× |
| ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 49 | $89.09 | 69.0% | 491 | 521.8 | 0.94× |
| Galil AR | Firefight (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted | 1 in 16 | $1.63 | 3.8% | 1,606 | 1567.0 | 1.02× |
| UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested)weapon · violet | 1 in 16 | $1.51 | 3.7% | 1,558 | 1637.0 | 0.95× |
| M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical | 14.2% | $0.58 | 3.2% | 3,729 | 3656.9 | 1.02× |
| SG 553 | Aloha (Field-Tested)weapon · blue | 11.6% | $0.24 | 1.1% | 3,221 | 2984.0 | 1.08× |
| SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec | 19.5% | $0.09 | 0.7% | 4,861 | 5023.5 | 0.97× |
| MP5-SD | Focus (Field-Tested)weapon · blue | 26.2% | $0.09 | 0.9% | 7,840 | 6768.7 | 1.16× |
| Negev | Wall Bang (Field-Tested)weapon · blueLight | 13.7% | $0.02 | 0.1% | 2,411 | 3548.2 | 0.68× |
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/farm-gloves, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.92%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $3.00 | 86.92% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $3.00 | 87.02% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $3.00 | 87.02% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $3.00 | 86.94% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $3.00 | 87.07% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $3.00 | 87.10% | 10 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $3.00 | 87.22% | 10 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $3.00 | 86.59% | 10 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $3.00 | 87.06% | 10 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $3.00 | 86.99% | 10 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $3.00 | 87.06% | 10 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $3.00 | 87.01% | 10 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $3.00 | 87.05% | 10 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $3.00 | 87.03% | 10 |
| 3 Nov, 09:33 UTC | $3.00 | 83.23% | 10 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $3.00 | 86.86% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrare 0.0%extraordinary 2.4%restricted 6.1%violet 6.3%Mythical 14.2%blue 37.8%milspec 19.5%blueLight 13.7%best hit $277 (92.17x)