FARM GLOVES JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$50.19
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $43.91 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.78%
1,573 openings, odds method
Variance
2.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,578 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Battle-Scarred)gloves · rare | 10.0% | $253 | 57.6% | 154 | 157.8 | 0.98× |
| ★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 10.0% | $94.83 | 21.6% | 176 | 157.8 | 1.12× |
| ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 10.0% | $87.44 | 19.9% | 145 | 157.8 | 0.92× |
| Galil AR | Firefight (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted | 10.0% | $1.57 | 0.4% | 141 | 157.8 | 0.89× |
| UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested)weapon · violet | 10.0% | $1.45 | 0.3% | 159 | 157.8 | 1.01× |
| M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical | 10.0% | $0.57 | 0.1% | 180 | 157.8 | 1.14× |
| SG 553 | Aloha (Field-Tested)weapon · blue | 10.0% | $0.28 | 0.1% | 153 | 157.8 | 0.97× |
| SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec | 10.0% | $0.11 | 0.0% | 193 | 157.8 | 1.22× |
| MP5-SD | Focus (Field-Tested)weapon · blue | 10.0% | $0.09 | 0.0% | 140 | 157.8 | 0.89× |
| Negev | Wall Bang (Field-Tested)weapon · blueLight | 10.0% | $0.03 | 0.0% | 137 | 157.8 | 0.87× |
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/farm-gloves-joker, 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC | $50.19 | 87.50% | 10 |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $49.48 | 87.51% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $49.39 | 87.50% | 10 |
| 10 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $49.56 | 87.49% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $48.21 | 87.51% | 10 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $49.51 | 87.49% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $49.52 | 87.51% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $49.62 | 87.51% | 10 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $49.89 | 87.51% | 10 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $49.61 | 87.51% | 10 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $49.89 | 87.51% | 10 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $49.56 | 87.50% | 10 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $49.89 | 87.51% | 10 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $53.19 | 87.49% | 10 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $49.56 | 87.50% | 10 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $53.19 | 87.49% | 10 |
| 5 Nov, 10:43 UTC | $53.28 | 87.50% | 10 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $53.19 | 87.49% | 10 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $52.42 | 87.50% | 10 |
| 2 Nov, 22:28 UTC | $50.75 | 87.50% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrare 10.0%extraordinary 20.0%restricted 10.0%violet 10.0%Mythical 10.0%blue 20.0%milspec 10.0%blueLight 10.0%best hit —