FBBTV
A case on Casehug (CREATORS), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$6.50
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $5.69 from 38 items
Observed RTP, 30d
81.71%
9,904 openings, odds method
Variance
9.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 35
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
88.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values38 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9,913 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/fbbtv, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $6.50 | 87.50% | 38 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $6.50 | 87.46% | 38 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $6.50 | 87.05% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $6.50 | 87.63% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $6.50 | 87.20% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $6.50 | 87.63% | 38 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $6.50 | 87.53% | 38 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $6.50 | 87.63% | 38 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $6.50 | 87.31% | 38 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $6.50 | 87.60% | 38 |
| 7 Nov, 05:08 UTC | $6.50 | 87.25% | 38 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $6.50 | 87.08% | 38 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $6.50 | 87.25% | 38 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $6.50 | 87.08% | 38 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $6.50 | 87.28% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $6.50 | 87.08% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 10:43 UTC | $6.50 | 87.28% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $6.50 | 87.50% | 38 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $6.50 | 87.28% | 38 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $6.50 | 87.11% | 38 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $6.50 | 87.50% | 38 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $6.50 | 88.04% | 38 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $6.50 | 87.40% | 38 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrare 0.7%covert 2.9%red 0.3%gold 0.8%Immortal 1.1%pink 7.3%Classified 3.3%Legendary 1.1%classified 1.2%restricted 3.8%blue 31.9%#4b69ff 20.0%#8847ff 1.2%Restricted 2.9%violet 13.6%Mythical 3.2%Rare 4.6%best hit —