FBBTV JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$46.03
Advertised RTP
87.51%
EV $40.28 from 38 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.89%
910 openings, odds method
Variance
1.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
60.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values38 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 981 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/fbbtv-joker, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.51%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $46.03 | 87.51% | 38 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $46.27 | 87.50% | 38 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $44.82 | 87.50% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $46.10 | 87.51% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $45.59 | 87.50% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $46.41 | 87.50% | 38 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $45.89 | 87.49% | 38 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $46.13 | 87.50% | 38 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $46.34 | 87.50% | 38 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $46.10 | 87.51% | 38 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $46.34 | 87.50% | 38 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $46.54 | 87.50% | 38 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $46.61 | 87.50% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $46.56 | 87.50% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $46.40 | 87.50% | 38 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $46.37 | 87.50% | 38 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $46.58 | 87.50% | 38 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrare 10.0%covert 17.5%red 2.5%gold 5.0%Immortal 5.0%pink 11.5%Classified 4.0%Legendary 2.0%classified 2.5%restricted 4.0%blue 8.0%#4b69ff 8.0%#8847ff 2.0%Restricted 2.0%violet 10.0%Mythical 2.0%Rare 4.0%best hit —