FLICK
A case on Casehug (STICKER CASES), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$2.00
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $1.75 from 24 items
Observed RTP, 30d
84.63%
21.3K openings, odds method
Variance
3.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
22.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
69.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Outside band, 30 days. Advertised 87.20% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (82.17% – 87.09%, 21,337 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 21.4K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/flick, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $2.00 | 87.50% | 24 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $2.00 | 86.55% | 24 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $2.00 | 87.44% | 24 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $2.00 | 87.66% | 24 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $2.00 | 87.35% | 24 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $2.00 | 87.46% | 24 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $2.00 | 87.77% | 24 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $2.00 | 86.89% | 24 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $2.00 | 87.69% | 24 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $2.00 | 86.69% | 24 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $2.00 | 87.11% | 24 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.00 | 87.35% | 24 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $2.00 | 86.77% | 24 |
| 3 Nov, 16:38 UTC | $2.00 | 87.03% | 24 |
| 3 Nov, 15:55 UTC | $2.00 | 87.07% | 24 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $2.00 | 87.03% | 24 |
| 3 Nov, 09:33 UTC | $2.00 | 85.69% | 24 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $2.00 | 87.07% | 24 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedremarkable 10.6%pink 12.7%exotic 1.9%Mythical 12.5%#8847ff 1.4%violet 4.2%red 3.6%Legendary 11.3%Exotic 3.2%Ancient 3.2%blue 26.7%Rare 8.8%best hit —