GALAXY JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$796.14
Advertised RTP
90.50%
EV $720.51 from 30 items
Observed RTP, 30d
94.17%
249 openings, odds method
Variance
1.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
18.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 276 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/galaxy-joker, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $796 | 90.50% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $798 | 90.50% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $803 | 90.50% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $806 | 90.50% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $806 | 90.50% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $807 | 90.50% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $803 | 90.50% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $810 | 90.50% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $803 | 90.50% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $807 | 90.50% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $812 | 90.50% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $814 | 90.50% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $810 | 90.50% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $814 | 90.50% | 30 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $811 | 90.50% | 30 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 55.6%extraordinary 3.7%restricted 7.4%classified 7.4%gold 7.4%epic 3.7%sunny 3.7%red 7.4%Ancient 3.7%best hit $2,880 (3.53x)