HOLLOW FRENZY JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$139.46
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $122.03 from 36 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.74%
2,045 openings, odds method
Variance
2.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
83.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,077 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/hollow-frenzy-joker, 12 Nov, 14:56 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $139 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $140 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $140 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $141 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $142 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $141 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $141 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $141 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 7 Nov, 05:08 UTC | $141 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $142 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $142 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $142 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $142 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $142 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $141 | 87.50% | 36 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $140 | 87.50% | 36 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 29.2%red 9.7%rare 1.9%uncommon 3.7%pink 11.9%classified 1.9%Legendary 1.9%#d32ce6 1.1%violet 11.1%gray 5.6%blue 16.7%blueLight 5.6%best hit $905 (6.42x)