IMPERIAL JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$113.97
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $99.73 from 24 items
Observed RTP, 30d
100.07%
1,458 openings, odds method
Variance
7.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 24
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
91.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,551 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/imperial-joker, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $114 | 87.50% | 24 |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $115 | 87.50% | 24 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $115 | 87.50% | 24 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $116 | 87.50% | 24 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $115 | 87.50% | 24 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $116 | 87.50% | 24 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $116 | 87.50% | 24 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $116 | 87.50% | 24 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $116 | 87.50% | 24 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $116 | 87.50% | 24 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $123 | 87.50% | 24 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $119 | 87.50% | 24 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $119 | 87.50% | 24 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcontraband 4.2%exotic 29.2%red 12.5%pink 12.5%Mythical 8.3%violet 16.7%remarkable 8.3%blue 4.2%Rare 4.2%best hit $1,667 (13.52x)