INSECTOR
A case on Casehug (REGULAR CASES), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$2.50
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $2.19 from 61 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.38%
16.6K openings, odds method
Variance
8.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
14.4%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
68.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values61 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16.6K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/insector, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $2.50 | 87.50% | 61 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $2.50 | 87.49% | 61 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $2.50 | 87.43% | 61 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $2.50 | 87.44% | 61 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $2.50 | 87.68% | 61 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $2.50 | 87.86% | 61 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $2.50 | 87.57% | 61 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $2.50 | 87.66% | 61 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $2.50 | 87.28% | 61 |
| 5 Nov, 10:43 UTC | $2.50 | 87.89% | 61 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.50 | 87.60% | 61 |
| 3 Nov, 16:38 UTC | $2.50 | 86.92% | 61 |
| 3 Nov, 15:55 UTC | $2.50 | 87.72% | 61 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $2.50 | 87.46% | 61 |
| 3 Nov, 09:33 UTC | $2.50 | 87.72% | 61 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $2.50 | 87.46% | 61 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedepic 0.0%covert 0.2%red 0.0%classified 3.4%#d32ee6 0.6%Legendary 7.9%Mythical 0.1%pink 17.0%restricted 20.0%Classified 4.0%blueLight 7.2%violet 5.6%#8847ff 2.2%blue 16.1%Rare 5.3%#4b69ff 5.2%milspec 5.1%best hit $312 (124.8x)