INSECTOR JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$105.94
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $92.70 from 61 items
Observed RTP, 30d
79.33%
211 openings, odds method
Variance
2.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 14
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
77.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values61 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 235 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/insector-joker, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $106 | 87.50% | 61 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $106 | 87.50% | 61 |
| 10 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $106 | 87.50% | 61 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $106 | 87.50% | 61 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $107 | 87.50% | 61 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $107 | 87.50% | 61 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $107 | 87.50% | 61 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $107 | 87.50% | 61 |
| 7 Nov, 05:08 UTC | $107 | 87.50% | 61 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $107 | 87.50% | 61 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $106 | 87.50% | 61 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $106 | 87.50% | 61 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $107 | 87.50% | 61 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $106 | 87.50% | 61 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedepic 3.7%covert 29.6%red 3.7%classified 9.3%#d32ee6 4.4%Legendary 8.7%Mythical 1.9%pink 12.2%restricted 10.2%Classified 2.5%blueLight 3.7%#8847ff 0.9%violet 1.9%blue 4.4%Rare 1.5%#4b69ff 0.7%milspec 0.7%best hit $712 (6.63x)