ISAMU V2 JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$513.82
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $449.59 from 59 items
Observed RTP, 30d
75.55%
293 openings, odds method
Variance
5.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 24
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
82.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values59 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 330 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/isamu-v2-joker, 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC | $514 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $514 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 10 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $524 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $516 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $520 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $516 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $516 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $524 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $521 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $519 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $521 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $521 | 87.50% | 59 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $521 | 87.50% | 59 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcontraband 4.2%classified 18.7%covert 29.2%restricted 8.3%red 8.3%Ancient 4.2%pink 7.5%#d32ee6 2.1%Mythical 6.1%violet 3.1%Classified 0.8%blue 2.5%Rare 0.8%#8847ff 2.5%uncommon 0.8%#4b69ff 0.8%best hit $6,273 (11.97x)