KAERYKA JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$200.10
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $175.08 from 55 items
Observed RTP, 30d
95.22%
481 openings, odds method
Variance
5.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 23
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values55 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 484 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/kaeryka-joker, 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC | $200 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $204 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $205 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $202 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $204 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $205 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $207 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $207 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $204 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $207 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $208 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $208 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $205 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $205 | 87.50% | 55 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $208 | 87.50% | 55 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 22.5%red 1.4%Ancient 10.9%pink 10.5%classified 8.3%Legendary 6.2%#d32ce6 2.9%Mythical 3.6%rare 1.4%#d32ee6 1.1%blue 2.9%violet 21.7%uncommon 1.1%Rare 1.4%#8847ff 2.9%common 1.1%best hit $2,292 (11.06x)