KINGDOM JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$483.08
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $422.69 from 30 items
Observed RTP, 30d
94.44%
149 openings, odds method
Variance
1.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 153 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/kingdom-joker, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $483 | 87.50% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $488 | 87.50% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $491 | 87.50% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $495 | 87.50% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $495 | 87.50% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $494 | 87.50% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $495 | 87.50% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $499 | 87.50% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $499 | 87.50% | 30 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $499 | 87.50% | 30 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 62.1%red 13.8%gold 3.4%mil spec 3.4%restricted 3.4%blue 13.8%best hit $2,421 (4.89x)