LORD JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$557.14
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $487.49 from 25 items
Observed RTP, 30d
96.45%
293 openings, odds method
Variance
1.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
17.4%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
65.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values25 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 334 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/lord-joker, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $557 | 87.50% | 25 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $561 | 87.50% | 25 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $566 | 87.50% | 25 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $561 | 87.50% | 25 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $564 | 87.50% | 25 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $566 | 87.50% | 25 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $567 | 87.50% | 25 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $564 | 87.50% | 25 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $567 | 87.50% | 25 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $568 | 87.50% | 25 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $569 | 87.50% | 25 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $568 | 87.50% | 25 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 43.5%classified 13.0%extraordinary 13.0%gold 6.5%restricted 4.3%legendary 4.3%pink 4.3%Immortal 2.2%sunny 4.3%Ancient 4.3%best hit $2,875 (5.06x)