MARROW JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$294.52
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $257.71 from 31 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.68%
1,043 openings, odds method
Variance
2.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
77.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values31 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,071 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/marrow-joker, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $295 | 87.50% | 31 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $296 | 87.50% | 31 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $291 | 87.50% | 31 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $292 | 87.50% | 31 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $292 | 87.50% | 31 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $293 | 87.50% | 31 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $296 | 87.50% | 31 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $298 | 87.50% | 31 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $296 | 87.50% | 31 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $298 | 87.50% | 31 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $301 | 87.50% | 31 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 5.6%covert 31.5%gold 11.1%red 3.7%epic 1.9%sunny 1.9%rare 1.9%Ancient 3.7%classified 5.6%violet 5.6%pink 11.1%blue 16.7%best hit $1,686 (5.61x)