MIŚ BIM JOKER

A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

Price
$44.98
Advertised RTP
87.51%
EV $39.36 from 68 items
Observed RTP, 30d
85.14%
1,750 openings, odds method
Variance
4.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
83.3%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
69.12%±26.44233 openings
7 days
86.71%±10.301,547 openings
30 days
85.14%±9.701,750 openings
since tracking started
85.14%±9.701,750 openings
42.0%69.8%97.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h23369.12%±26.4−1.4σodds
7d1,54786.71%±10.3−0.2σodds
30d1,75085.14%±9.70−0.5σodds
All1,75085.14%±9.70−0.5σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values68 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,795 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 21$34741.9%7885.50.91×
★ Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 21$28734.7%8885.51.03×
AK-47 | The Oligarch (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient1 in 84$1213.7%021.40.00×
Desert Eagle | Code Red (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 84$67.352.0%021.40.00×
Desert Eagle | Code Red (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 84$55.421.7%021.40.00×
AK-47 | The Oligarch (Field-Tested)weapon · red1 in 84$53.321.6%021.40.00×
Desert Eagle | Code Red (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 84$52.111.6%021.40.00×
Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 84$50.861.5%021.40.00×
Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient1 in 84$39.091.2%021.40.00×
AK-47 | The Oligarch (Well-Worn)weapon · red1 in 84$38.451.2%021.40.00×
Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Well-Worn)weapon · red1 in 84$37.901.1%021.40.00×
Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Field-Tested)weapon · red1 in 84$36.631.1%021.40.00×
Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red1 in 84$32.481.0%021.40.00×
AK-47 | The Oligarch (Battle-Scarred)weapon · rare1 in 84$32.021.0%021.40.00×
AWP | The End (Field-Tested)weapon · pink1 in 21$11.251.4%8785.51.02×
AK-47 | Slate (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 84$8.090.2%021.40.00×
USP-S | Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink1 in 84$6.910.2%021.40.00×
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 84$5.520.2%021.40.00×
AK-47 | Slate (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 84$5.250.2%021.40.00×
AK-47 | Slate (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 84$4.530.1%021.40.00×
AK-47 | Slate (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 84$4.480.1%021.40.00×
USP-S | Jawbreaker (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 84$4.240.1%021.40.00×
USP-S | Jawbreaker (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 84$4.060.1%021.40.00×
USP-S | Jawbreaker (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 84$4.010.1%021.40.00×
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 84$3.900.1%021.40.00×
AK-47 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec1 in 84$3.790.1%021.40.00×
M4A4 | Turbine (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 84$3.630.1%021.40.00×
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 84$3.600.1%021.40.00×
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 84$3.380.1%021.40.00×
P250 | Franklin (Well-Worn)weapon · #d32ee61 in 63$3.270.1%028.50.00×
Desert Eagle | Heat Treated (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink1 in 84$3.080.1%021.40.00×
Galil AR | Firefight (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 84$2.520.1%021.40.00×
AK-47 | Elite Build (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 84$2.400.1%021.40.00×
P250 | Franklin (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 63$2.360.1%028.50.00×
AK-47 | Elite Build (Well-Worn)weapon · blue1 in 84$1.900.1%021.40.00×
AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec1 in 84$1.900.1%021.40.00×
P250 | Franklin (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary1 in 63$1.640.1%028.50.00×
Galil AR | Firefight (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 84$1.630.0%021.40.00×
M4A4 | Turbine (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 84$1.450.0%021.40.00×
Galil AR | Firefight (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet1 in 84$1.430.0%021.40.00×
M4A4 | Turbine (Well-Worn)weapon · violet1 in 84$1.390.0%021.40.00×
Desert Eagle | Heat Treated (Field-Tested)weapon · pink1 in 84$1.390.0%021.40.00×
Galil AR | Firefight (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 84$1.390.0%021.40.00×
Desert Eagle | Heat Treated (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 84$1.290.0%021.40.00×
Desert Eagle | Heat Treated (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 84$1.190.0%021.40.00×
M4A4 | Turbine (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 84$1.160.0%021.40.00×
USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 84$1.070.0%021.40.00×
M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 84$1.010.0%021.40.00×
P2000 | Red Wing (Factory New)weapon · blue1 in 105$0.890.0%017.10.00×
Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet1 in 21$0.840.1%8785.51.02×
M4A1-S | Night Terror (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 84$0.810.0%021.40.00×
XM1014 | Mockingbird (Factory New)weapon · Rare1 in 105$0.800.0%017.10.00×
M4A1-S | Night Terror (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet1 in 84$0.780.0%021.40.00×
M4A1-S | Night Terror (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 84$0.720.0%021.40.00×
USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 84$0.700.0%021.40.00×
USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 84$0.700.0%021.40.00×
USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 84$0.690.0%021.40.00×
P2000 | Red Wing (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec1 in 105$0.240.0%017.10.00×
M4A4 | Steel Work (Factory New)weapon · blueLight1 in 42$0.170.0%042.70.00×
XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 105$0.140.0%017.10.00×
P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 105$0.090.0%017.10.00×
P2000 | Red Wing (Well-Worn)weapon · blue1 in 105$0.080.0%017.10.00×
XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 105$0.080.0%017.10.00×
P2000 | Red Wing (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec1 in 105$0.060.0%017.10.00×
XM1014 | Mockingbird (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 105$0.060.0%017.10.00×
XM1014 | Mockingbird (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 105$0.060.0%017.10.00×
M4A4 | Steel Work (Minimal Wear)weapon · Uncommon1 in 42$0.030.0%042.70.00×
Sawed-Off | Crimson Batik (Factory New)weapon · Common1 in 21$0.020.0%9985.51.16×
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from casehug:cases/mis-bim-joker, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.51%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 14:41 UTC$44.9887.51%68
11 Nov, 08:38 UTC$44.2487.49%68
10 Nov, 14:25 UTC$45.0087.49%68
10 Nov, 08:21 UTC$44.9987.50%68
10 Nov, 02:18 UTC$46.2387.50%68
9 Nov, 20:14 UTC$44.8187.49%68
9 Nov, 08:07 UTC$46.2387.50%68
8 Nov, 17:31 UTC$46.0587.50%68
8 Nov, 11:27 UTC$45.6787.50%68
8 Nov, 05:24 UTC$46.1187.49%68
7 Nov, 17:16 UTC$45.8487.51%68
7 Nov, 11:11 UTC$46.1187.49%68
6 Nov, 23:04 UTC$45.8487.51%68
6 Nov, 17:00 UTC$46.7187.50%68
5 Nov, 10:43 UTC$46.6687.50%68
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC$46.8987.51%68
4 Nov, 14:13 UTC$46.4187.49%68
3 Nov, 22:42 UTC$46.8987.51%68
3 Nov, 09:33 UTC$47.4387.49%68
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 14.3%Ancient 2.4%red 6.0%rare 1.2%pink 13.1%restricted 15.5%Mythical 8.3%classified 2.8%milspec 3.1%#d32ee6 1.6%Rare 4.0%blue 3.1%mil spec 1.2%Legendary 1.6%violet 9.5%blueLight 2.4%#4b69ff 2.9%Uncommon 2.4%Common 4.8%best hit —