Price
$44.98
Advertised RTP
87.51%
EV $39.36 from 68 items
Observed RTP, 30d
85.14%
1,750 openings, odds method
Variance
4.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
83.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values68 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,795 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/mis-bim-joker, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.51%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $44.98 | 87.51% | 68 |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $44.24 | 87.49% | 68 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $45.00 | 87.49% | 68 |
| 10 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $44.99 | 87.50% | 68 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $46.23 | 87.50% | 68 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $44.81 | 87.49% | 68 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $46.23 | 87.50% | 68 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $46.05 | 87.50% | 68 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $45.67 | 87.50% | 68 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $46.11 | 87.49% | 68 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $45.84 | 87.51% | 68 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $46.11 | 87.49% | 68 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $45.84 | 87.51% | 68 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $46.71 | 87.50% | 68 |
| 5 Nov, 10:43 UTC | $46.66 | 87.50% | 68 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $46.89 | 87.51% | 68 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $46.41 | 87.49% | 68 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $46.89 | 87.51% | 68 |
| 3 Nov, 09:33 UTC | $47.43 | 87.49% | 68 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 14.3%Ancient 2.4%red 6.0%rare 1.2%pink 13.1%restricted 15.5%Mythical 8.3%classified 2.8%milspec 3.1%#d32ee6 1.6%Rare 4.0%blue 3.1%mil spec 1.2%Legendary 1.6%violet 9.5%blueLight 2.4%#4b69ff 2.9%Uncommon 2.4%Common 4.8%best hit —