NITRO V1
A case on Casehug (CREATORS), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$1.00
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $0.87 from 49 items
Observed RTP, 30d
85.69%
36.9K openings, odds method
Variance
39.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
20.9%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
84.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 37K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/nitro-v1, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $1.00 | 87.50% | 49 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $1.00 | 88.09% | 49 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $1.00 | 88.30% | 49 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $1.00 | 87.86% | 49 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $1.00 | 87.83% | 49 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $1.00 | 88.12% | 49 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $1.00 | 88.48% | 49 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $1.00 | 89.42% | 49 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $1.00 | 88.41% | 49 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $1.00 | 88.32% | 49 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $1.00 | 88.27% | 49 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1.00 | 87.64% | 49 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $1.00 | 88.33% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 16:38 UTC | $1.00 | 88.08% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 09:33 UTC | $1.00 | 88.47% | 49 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $1.00 | 88.10% | 49 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.0%sunny 0.0%red 0.0%#eb4b4b 0.0%#d32ce6 0.0%classified 0.5%Classified 0.0%pink 1.2%restricted 2.3%Legendary 0.0%Mythical 16.2%uncommon 11.9%violet 55.2%#8847ff 12.5%best hit $1,111 (1,111x)