PLANT B JOKER

A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.

Price
$255.47
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $223.54 from 27 items
Observed RTP, 30d
85.56%
198 openings, odds method
Variance
1.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
14.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
76.2%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
65 openings · below min
7 days
84.79%±19.92166 openings
30 days
85.56%±18.29198 openings
since tracking started
85.56%±18.29198 openings
52.0%84.3%116.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h6584.47%±31.6—odds
7d16684.79%±19.9−0.3σodds
30d19885.56%±18.3−0.2σodds
All19885.56%±18.3−0.2σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values27 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 219 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 21$1,40730.0%710.40.67×
★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 21$89519.1%1610.41.53×
★ Stiletto Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 21$47010.0%910.40.86×
★ Flip Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 21$3607.7%710.40.67×
★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 21$2916.2%1410.41.34×
★ Classic Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 21$2174.6%910.40.86×
★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary1 in 21$1693.6%1410.41.34×
M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 21$1543.3%910.40.86×
M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 21$1523.2%1510.41.44×
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 42$1461.6%05.20.00×
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary1 in 42$1281.4%05.20.00×
★ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic (Field-Tested)knife · gold1 in 21$1102.3%510.40.48×
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 21$74.641.6%1210.41.15×
AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Factory New)weapon · pink1 in 105$60.790.3%02.10.00×
AWP | Wildfire (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 21$54.761.2%1610.41.53×
Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 21$50.861.1%1210.41.15×
AWP | Redline (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 21$43.610.9%810.40.77×
AK-47 | Head Shot (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient1 in 42$37.420.4%05.20.00×
AK-47 | Head Shot (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red1 in 42$32.560.3%05.20.00×
AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary1 in 105$25.200.1%02.10.00×
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 21$14.920.3%1310.41.25×
R8 Revolver | Memento (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 21$13.950.3%710.40.67×
Galil AR | Vandal (Factory New)weapon · blue1 in 21$12.240.3%810.40.77×
MAC-10 | Tatter (Factory New)weapon · violet1 in 21$11.490.2%1110.41.05×
AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Field-Tested)weapon · pink1 in 105$9.990.0%02.10.00×
AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 105$6.690.0%02.10.00×
AK-47 | Nouveau Rouge (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 105$5.840.0%02.10.00×
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from casehug:cases/plant-b-joker, 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 20:45 UTC$25587.50%27
11 Nov, 02:34 UTC$25487.50%27
10 Nov, 14:25 UTC$25587.50%27
10 Nov, 02:18 UTC$25687.50%27
8 Nov, 23:35 UTC$25887.50%27
8 Nov, 17:31 UTC$25687.50%27
8 Nov, 05:24 UTC$25687.50%27
7 Nov, 23:20 UTC$25687.50%27
6 Nov, 23:04 UTC$25687.50%27
6 Nov, 17:00 UTC$25687.50%27
5 Nov, 22:50 UTC$25687.50%27
5 Nov, 16:46 UTC$25887.50%27
4 Nov, 22:36 UTC$25687.50%27
3 Nov, 22:42 UTC$25987.50%27
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedclassified 14.3%covert 42.9%extraordinary 14.3%gold 4.8%pink 3.8%Ancient 2.4%red 2.4%Legendary 1.0%mil spec 4.8%blue 4.8%violet 4.8%best hit $1,466 (5.66x)