Price
$495.23
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $433.33 from 38 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.24%
181 openings, odds method
Variance
1.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values38 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 193 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/pompa-team-joker, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $495 | 87.50% | 38 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $496 | 87.50% | 38 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $496 | 87.50% | 38 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $493 | 87.50% | 38 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $491 | 87.50% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $494 | 87.50% | 38 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $495 | 87.50% | 38 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $498 | 87.50% | 38 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $497 | 87.50% | 38 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 40.6%classified 28.1%rare 6.3%restricted 5.0%red 3.1%violet 1.3%Legendary 3.1%pink 6.3%Mythical 6.3%best hit $2,212 (4.46x)