RETRO JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$191.17
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $167.28 from 57 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.98%
866 openings, odds method
Variance
2.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
76.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values57 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 877 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/retro-joker, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $191 | 87.50% | 57 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $192 | 87.50% | 57 |
| 10 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $193 | 87.50% | 57 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $194 | 87.50% | 57 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $193 | 87.50% | 57 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $194 | 87.50% | 57 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $194 | 87.50% | 57 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $195 | 87.50% | 57 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $193 | 87.50% | 57 |
| 7 Nov, 05:08 UTC | $196 | 87.50% | 57 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $194 | 87.50% | 57 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $196 | 87.50% | 57 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $200 | 87.50% | 57 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $200 | 87.50% | 57 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $200 | 87.50% | 57 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 40.4%#ffd700 3.8%epic 3.8%Covert 1.9%#eb4b4b 1.9%red 1.9%classified 17.5%rare 1.5%#d32ce6 2.3%pink 3.3%Legendary 2.3%violet 10.6%grey 2.6%Common 3.8%gray 1.3%#8847ff 1.0%best hit $1,416 (7.09x)