RUBY HUNT JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$1,473.69
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $1,289.48 from 19 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.16%
939 openings, odds method
Variance
2.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
76.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,010 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/ruby-hunt-joker, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $1,474 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $1,472 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $1,474 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $1,478 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $1,481 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $1,483 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $1,490 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $1,482 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $1,486 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $1,485 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $1,490 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $1,486 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $1,490 | 87.50% | 19 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $1,494 | 87.50% | 19 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 41.2%legendary 17.6%gold 5.9%pink 2.9%restricted 2.9%Classified 2.9%violet 8.8%gray 5.9%#8847ff 5.9%blue 5.9%best hit $9,868 (6.62x)