SAVAGE
A case on Casehug (REGULAR CASES), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$25.00
Advertised RTP
87.77%
EV $21.94 from 52 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.77%
5,504 openings, odds method
Variance
3.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
74.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values52 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,519 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/savage, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.77%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $25.00 | 87.77% | 52 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $25.00 | 87.50% | 52 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $25.00 | 87.77% | 52 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $25.00 | 87.68% | 52 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $25.00 | 86.99% | 52 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $25.00 | 87.34% | 52 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $25.00 | 87.10% | 52 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $25.00 | 87.38% | 52 |
| 7 Nov, 05:08 UTC | $25.00 | 87.43% | 52 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $25.00 | 87.03% | 52 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $25.00 | 87.59% | 52 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $25.00 | 87.58% | 52 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $25.00 | 87.14% | 52 |
| 3 Nov, 09:33 UTC | $25.00 | 87.26% | 52 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $25.00 | 87.93% | 52 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 19.5%#ffd700 0.1%red 0.2%classified 6.0%Covert 0.3%gold 5.7%Legendary 6.7%pink 60.1%Classified 1.5%best hit $1,140 (45.59x)