SAVAGE JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$277.89
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $243.15 from 52 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.12%
96 openings, odds method
Variance
0.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
18.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
69.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 96 openings and 17.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values52 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 114 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/savage-joker, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $278 | 87.50% | 52 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $279 | 87.50% | 52 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $280 | 87.50% | 52 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $276 | 87.50% | 52 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $278 | 87.50% | 52 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $276 | 87.50% | 52 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $278 | 87.50% | 52 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $274 | 87.50% | 52 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $276 | 87.50% | 52 |
| 4 Nov, 04:46 UTC | $276 | 87.50% | 52 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 64.0%#ffd700 4.0%red 4.0%classified 5.6%Covert 4.0%gold 4.0%Legendary 2.4%pink 11.2%Classified 0.8%best hit $1,138 (4.06x)