SPIRIT CALL JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$44.17
Advertised RTP
87.49%
EV $38.65 from 40 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.22%
17.5K openings, odds method
Variance
4.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 15
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
81.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values40 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 17.5K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/spirit-call-joker, 12 Nov, 02:49 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.49%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $44.17 | 87.49% | 40 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $44.98 | 87.50% | 40 |
| 9 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $45.74 | 87.49% | 40 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $45.19 | 87.50% | 40 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $45.90 | 87.50% | 40 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $45.12 | 87.50% | 40 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $45.21 | 87.50% | 40 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $45.12 | 87.50% | 40 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $45.68 | 87.49% | 40 |
| 7 Nov, 05:08 UTC | $45.90 | 87.50% | 40 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $45.49 | 87.51% | 40 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $45.90 | 87.50% | 40 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $45.65 | 87.50% | 40 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $45.90 | 87.50% | 40 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $45.22 | 87.50% | 40 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $45.97 | 87.49% | 40 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $45.74 | 87.50% | 40 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $45.84 | 87.51% | 40 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $45.88 | 87.50% | 40 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 3.4%extraordinary 3.4%restricted 3.4%rare 5.7%Immortal 1.7%red 1.1%uncommon 1.7%pink 14.4%classified 2.9%blue 13.8%violet 17.2%gray 13.8%blueLight 6.9%#d32ce6 3.4%grey 3.4%common 3.4%best hit —