Price
$50.00
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $43.75 from 63 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.05%
2,924 openings, odds method
Variance
1.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
22.4%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
69.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values63 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,944 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/sushi-master, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $50.00 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $50.00 | 87.78% | 63 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $50.00 | 87.38% | 63 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $50.00 | 87.29% | 63 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $50.00 | 87.56% | 63 |
| 9 Nov, 00:05 UTC | $50.00 | 87.51% | 63 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $50.00 | 87.77% | 63 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $50.00 | 87.68% | 63 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $50.00 | 87.77% | 63 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $50.00 | 87.70% | 63 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $50.00 | 87.66% | 63 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $50.00 | 87.66% | 63 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $50.00 | 87.44% | 63 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $50.00 | 87.66% | 63 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $50.00 | 87.44% | 63 |
| 5 Nov, 10:43 UTC | $50.00 | 87.62% | 63 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $50.00 | 87.44% | 63 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $50.00 | 87.26% | 63 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $50.00 | 87.62% | 63 |
| 3 Nov, 15:55 UTC | $50.00 | 87.64% | 63 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $50.00 | 87.28% | 63 |
| 3 Nov, 09:33 UTC | $50.00 | 87.64% | 63 |
| 3 Nov, 02:07 UTC | $50.00 | 87.28% | 63 |
| 3 Nov, 01:41 UTC | $50.00 | 87.60% | 63 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $50.00 | 87.28% | 63 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 13.6%extraordinary 2.4%rare 0.0%legendary 0.1%classified 9.3%Ancient 24.5%gold 2.9%red 1.7%Covert 0.4%pink 13.8%Mythical 15.5%Legendary 4.0%restricted 4.0%violet 5.1%#d32ee6 2.0%Classified 0.7%best hit $1,408 (28.16x)