Price
$418.98
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $366.61 from 63 items
Observed RTP, 30d
76.60%
133 openings, odds method
Variance
0.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
16.7%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
63.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values63 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 136 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/sushi-master-joker, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $419 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $428 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $431 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $432 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $430 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $429 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $432 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $440 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $434 | 87.50% | 63 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $440 | 87.50% | 63 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 36.8%extraordinary 11.1%rare 2.8%legendary 5.6%classified 5.6%Ancient 6.9%gold 2.8%red 2.8%Covert 0.7%pink 9.4%Mythical 6.1%Legendary 2.8%restricted 2.2%violet 2.8%#d32ee6 1.1%Classified 0.6%best hit $1,455 (3.31x)