TAXI JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$122.85
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $107.49 from 41 items
Observed RTP, 30d
83.51%
224 openings, odds method
Variance
2.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
76.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values41 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 246 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/taxi-joker, 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC | $123 | 87.50% | 41 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $118 | 87.50% | 41 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $117 | 87.50% | 41 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $122 | 87.50% | 41 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $125 | 87.50% | 41 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $124 | 87.50% | 41 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $126 | 87.50% | 41 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $125 | 87.50% | 41 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $125 | 87.50% | 41 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $125 | 87.50% | 41 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $125 | 87.50% | 41 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $126 | 87.50% | 41 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $126 | 87.50% | 41 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $126 | 87.50% | 41 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed4 1.2%covert 23.8%gold 4.8%rare 4.8%Ancient 7.1%classified 12.7%red 2.4%pink 10.7%#d32ee6 6.0%gray 4.0%blue 7.6%Legendary 1.2%Classified 1.6%grey 6.7%Consumer Grade 3.6%#4b69ff 1.9%best hit $744 (5.88x)