THE BOMB JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$54.58
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $47.76 from 57 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.83%
455 openings, odds method
Variance
3.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 12
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
78.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values57 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 515 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/the-bomb-joker, 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC | $54.58 | 87.50% | 57 |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $55.15 | 87.51% | 57 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $55.17 | 87.50% | 57 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $55.38 | 87.50% | 57 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $54.66 | 87.49% | 57 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $55.09 | 87.49% | 57 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $54.36 | 87.50% | 57 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $54.14 | 87.51% | 57 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $54.36 | 87.50% | 57 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $54.90 | 87.51% | 57 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $55.35 | 87.50% | 57 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $54.91 | 87.50% | 57 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $54.58 | 87.50% | 57 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $54.50 | 87.50% | 57 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $55.35 | 87.50% | 57 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 26.1%Ancient 4.3%classified 13.0%Mythical 2.2%restricted 8.0%Classified 2.2%pink 6.9%Legendary 2.5%#d32ee6 1.5%#8847ff 5.4%blue 7.6%violet 19.2%mil spec 1.1%best hit —