Price
$1.00
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $0.87 from 47 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.08%
29.2K openings, odds method
Variance
4.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
22.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
84.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values47 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 29.2K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/tung-tung, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $1.00 | 87.50% | 47 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $1.00 | 87.99% | 47 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $1.00 | 88.17% | 47 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $1.00 | 88.06% | 47 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $1.00 | 87.93% | 47 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $1.00 | 88.47% | 47 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $1.00 | 88.03% | 47 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $1.00 | 87.87% | 47 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $1.00 | 88.03% | 47 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $1.00 | 87.93% | 47 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $1.00 | 88.23% | 47 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $1.00 | 88.22% | 47 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1.00 | 87.52% | 47 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $1.00 | 88.31% | 47 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $1.00 | 88.18% | 47 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $1.00 | 87.77% | 47 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.0%extraordinary 0.0%classified 0.0%#8847ff 16.0%restricted 13.1%pink 4.3%Legendary 0.6%violet 44.7%uncommon 0.9%Mythical 20.4%best hit $266 (266.0x)