TUNG TUNG JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$40.41
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $35.36 from 47 items
Observed RTP, 30d
83.60%
1,800 openings, odds method
Variance
3.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
76.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values47 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,807 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/tung-tung-joker, 12 Nov, 02:49 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov, 02:49 UTC | $40.41 | 87.50% | 47 |
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $39.52 | 87.50% | 47 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $41.17 | 87.49% | 47 |
| 10 Nov, 08:21 UTC | $39.59 | 87.50% | 47 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $40.85 | 87.51% | 47 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $39.59 | 87.50% | 47 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $39.17 | 87.50% | 47 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $40.85 | 87.51% | 47 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $41.13 | 87.50% | 47 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $41.00 | 87.50% | 47 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $41.05 | 87.51% | 47 |
| 7 Nov, 11:11 UTC | $40.67 | 87.49% | 47 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $41.00 | 87.50% | 47 |
| 5 Nov, 10:43 UTC | $41.56 | 87.49% | 47 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $40.86 | 87.50% | 47 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $41.43 | 87.49% | 47 |
| 2 Nov, 22:28 UTC | $41.28 | 87.49% | 47 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 19.0%extraordinary 4.8%classified 4.8%#8847ff 13.5%restricted 14.3%pink 7.1%Legendary 2.4%violet 20.1%uncommon 2.4%Mythical 11.7%best hit —