WAVE
A case on Casehug (STICKER CASES), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$0.50
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $0.44 from 30 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.26%
44.6K openings, odds method
Variance
2.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
25.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
88.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 44.7K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/wave, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $0.50 | 87.50% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $0.50 | 88.11% | 30 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $0.50 | 89.40% | 30 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $0.50 | 89.33% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $0.50 | 88.21% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $0.50 | 85.46% | 30 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $0.50 | 87.15% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $0.50 | 85.46% | 30 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $0.50 | 87.69% | 30 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $0.50 | 86.93% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $0.50 | 86.69% | 30 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $0.50 | 86.04% | 30 |
| 4 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $0.50 | 86.10% | 30 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $0.50 | 86.64% | 30 |
| 3 Nov, 10:08 UTC | $0.50 | 86.52% | 30 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $0.50 | 88.38% | 30 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedremarkable 12.8%exotic 0.1%violet 27.0%Mythical 0.8%#8847ff 1.0%blue 41.8%Legendary 8.0%high 8.6%best hit —