10% Great 20% Ok

A box on Cases.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price
$38.11
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
119.85%
108 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
34 openings · below min
30 days
108 openings · below min
since tracking started
108 openings · below min
17.0%95.8%174.5%

Small sample. 108 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d3488.16%±70.4—sample
30d108119.85%±54.0—sample
All108119.85%±54.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and oddsnone published

No catalogCases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Kibbleother$38.11$0.100.00x
Kibbleother$38.11$0.100.00x
Kibbleotherrekack$38.11$0.100.00x
Tesla Key Cardother$38.11$50.001.31x
$100 Voucherother$38.11$1002.62x
Tesla Key Cardother$38.11$50.001.31x
$100 Voucherother$38.11$1002.62x
$100 Voucherother$38.11$1002.62x
Kibbleotherryan$38.11$0.100.00x
Kibbleother$38.11$0.100.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $532 (13.96x)