10% OVO
A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$102.95
Advertised RTP
89.50%
EV $92.14 from 11 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.15%
383 openings, odds method
Variance
7.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 24
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 383 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVO The Simpsons Varsity Jacket US Lother | 1 in 133 | $2,110 | 17.2% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.04× |
| BAPE x OVO Varsity Jacket Blackother | 1 in 100 | $1,386 | 15.0% | 1 | 3.8 | 0.26× |
| OVO x Canada Goose Reflective Scarfother | 1 in 80 | $866 | 11.7% | 7 | 4.8 | 1.46× |
| OVO x Canada Goose Trucker Hatother | 1 in 80 | $826 | 11.2% | 4 | 4.8 | 0.84× |
| OVO x Wilson Basketball Black/Goldother | 1 in 31 | $488 | 17.2% | 12 | 12.4 | 0.96× |
| OVO The Simpsons Itchy Hoodie Light Blue US Mother | 1 in 40 | $470 | 12.8% | 14 | 9.6 | 1.46× |
| OVO x Looney Tunes Bicycle Playing Cardsother | 10.0% | $59.00 | 6.4% | 29 | 38.3 | 0.76× |
| Nike x Drake NOCTA Pack of 3 Socksother | 10.0% | $44.00 | 4.8% | 39 | 38.3 | 1.02× |
| Anita Max Win Hatother | 20.0% | $10.00 | 2.2% | 88 | 76.6 | 1.15× |
| OVO Logo Lanyardother | 20.0% | $5.40 | 1.2% | 79 | 76.6 | 1.03× |
| OVO Stickerother | 30.0% | $1.00 | 0.3% | 107 | 114.9 | 0.93× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $103 | 89.50% | 11 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit $2,110 (20.50x)