2% balance builder

A box on Cases.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price
$0.20
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
113.33%
514 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
423 openings · below min
30 days
514 openings · below min
since tracking started
514 openings · below min
-0.5%139.0%278.5%

Small sample. 514 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d423136.05%±142.0—sample
30d514113.33%±116.9—sample
All514113.33%±116.9—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and oddsnone published

No catalogCases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

CS2 Karambit Doppler P2 Replicaother$0.20$40.00200.0x
100% RIDEFIT Moto Glovesother$0.20$33.00165.0x
100% RIDEFIT Moto Glovesother$0.20$33.00165.0x

Latest dropsnewest first

Coin Pusher Tokenother$0.20$0.010.05x
Coin Pusher Tokenother$0.20$0.010.05x
Coin Pusher Tokenother$0.20$0.010.05x
Coin Pusher Tokenother$0.20$0.010.05x
CS2 Karambit Doppler P2 Replicaother$0.20$40.00200.0x
Coin Pusher Tokenother$0.20$0.010.05x
Coin Pusher Tokenother$0.20$0.010.05x
Coin Pusher Tokenother$0.20$0.010.05x
Coin Pusher Tokenother$0.20$0.010.05x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $40.00 (200.0x)