3D Printed

A box on Cases.gg (3D), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price
$41.68
Advertised RTP
89.49%
EV $37.30 from 19 items
Observed RTP, 30d
76.99%
389 openings, odds method
Variance
11.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 29
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.5%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
33 openings · below min
7 days
86.89%±38.45297 openings
30 days
76.99%±33.60389 openings
since tracking started
76.99%±33.60389 openings
-0.5%80.3%161.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h3345.12%±115.4—odds
7d29786.89%±38.5−0.1σodds
30d38976.99%±33.6−0.7σodds
All38976.99%±33.6−0.7σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 389 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Genmitsu CNC Machine PROVerXL 6050 Plusother1 in 500$1,7599.4%10.8—
Creality K1 Max 3D Printer with Smart AI Functionother1 in 500$1,0225.5%10.8—
Genmitsu CNC Router Machine PROVerXL 4030other1 in 333$8246.6%01.20.00×
Creality Ender 3 V3 Plusother1 in 333$6245.0%01.20.00×
AnkerMake M5 3D Printerother1 in 200$6008.0%41.92.06×
Creality 3D Scanner CR-Scan Ferret Proother1 in 100$54014.5%13.90.26×
FLASHFORGE Adventurer 5M 3D Printerother1 in 100$45612.2%53.91.29×
ELEGOO Mars 4 MSLA 3D Printer with 7" 9K Monochrome LCDother1 in 100$3609.7%43.91.03×
Official Creality Ender 3 3D Printerother1 in 100$2797.5%33.90.77×
Creality Ender 3 V3 SE 3D Printerother1 in 100$2647.1%23.90.51×
Canon PIXMA TS6420a All-in-One Wireless Inkjet Printerother1 in 67$80.003.2%45.80.69×
MYNT3D Super 3D Penother1 in 67$44.001.8%35.80.51×
Creality 3D Printer Tool Kitother1 in 67$33.651.4%55.80.86×
HATCHBOX 1.75mm White PLA 3D Printer Filament, 1 KG Spoolother1 in 50$27.491.5%57.80.64×
HATCHBOX 1.75mm Green PLA 3D Printer Filament, 1 KG Spoolother1 in 50$27.491.5%27.80.26×
HATCHBOX 1.75mm Black PLA 3D Printer Filament, 1 KG Spoolother1 in 50$27.491.5%97.81.16×
HP 65 Black Ink Cartridgeother1 in 33$18.001.4%1711.71.46×
Hotend Nozzlesother10.0%$5.001.3%3338.90.85×
$0.50 Voucherother70.0%$0.500.9%290272.31.07×
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 08:49 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AnkerMake M5 3D Printerother$41.68$60014.40x
AnkerMake M5 3D Printerother$41.68$60014.40x
AnkerMake M5 3D Printerother$41.68$60014.40x
AnkerMake M5 3D Printerother$41.68$60014.40x

Latest dropsnewest first

HP 65 Black Ink Cartridgeother$41.68$18.000.43x
$0.50 Voucherother$41.68$0.500.01x
$0.50 Voucherother$41.68$0.500.01x
HP 65 Black Ink Cartridgeother$41.68$18.000.43x
$0.50 Voucherother$41.68$0.500.01x
$0.50 Voucherother$41.68$0.500.01x
$0.50 Voucherother$41.68$0.500.01x
$0.50 Voucherother$41.68$0.500.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.49%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$41.6889.49%19
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 100.0%best hit $1,759 (42.20x)