3percent-snowball

A box on Cases.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price

$0.10

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

78.78%

2,143 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

30 openings · below min

7 days

73.77%±31.431,733 openings

30 days

78.78%±31.832,143 openings

since tracking started

78.78%±31.832,143 openings

-0.5%55.5%111.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	30	43.00%±64.7	—	sample
7d	1,733	73.77%±31.4	—	sample
30d	2,143	78.78%±31.8	—	sample
All	2,143	78.78%±31.8	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and oddsnone published

No catalogCases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

$20 Steam Gift Cardother$0.10$20.00200.0x1d

$20 Steam Gift Cardother$0.10$20.00200.0x8d

$10 Steam Gift Cardother$0.10$10.00100.0x1d

$5 Steam Gift CardotherJonathan$0.10$5.0050.00x1d

$5 Steam Gift CardotherO.H.O.K | ☣☢[R3SP3CT]☣☢$0.10$5.0050.00x4d

$5 Steam Gift Cardother$0.10$5.0050.00x4d

$5 Steam Gift Cardother$0.10$5.0050.00x7d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Car Stickerother$0.10$0.010.10x10h

Car StickerotherKURIBOHOFFICIELツ$0.10$0.010.10x10h

Car Stickerother$0.10$0.010.10x10h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $20.00 (200.0x)