5 Finger Discount
A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$6.87
Advertised RTP
89.39%
EV $6.14 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
98.75%
1,423 openings, odds method
Variance
12.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 35
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
86.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,423 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HP Chromebook 14 Laptopother | 1 in 500 | $280 | 9.1% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.70× |
| INSIGNIA 42-inch Class F20 Series Smart Full HD 1080p Fire TVother | 1 in 200 | $214 | 17.4% | 8 | 7.1 | 1.12× |
| Viktor&Rolf - Spicebomb Nightvision Eau de Parfumother | 1 in 250 | $190 | 12.4% | 9 | 5.7 | 1.58× |
| Razer BlackShark V2 X Gaming Headsetother | 1 in 133 | $55.00 | 6.7% | 12 | 10.7 | 1.12× |
| DualShock 4 Wireless Controller for PlayStation 4other | 1 in 100 | $44.00 | 7.2% | 17 | 14.2 | 1.19× |
| Remington Hair Straightenerother | 1 in 67 | $35.00 | 8.5% | 25 | 21.3 | 1.17× |
| Silver Ringother | 1 in 50 | $26.80 | 8.7% | 26 | 28.5 | 0.91× |
| Powerbankother | 1 in 40 | $14.00 | 5.7% | 39 | 35.6 | 1.10× |
| Phone Casecontainer | 1 in 40 | $10.00 | 4.1% | 33 | 35.6 | 0.93× |
| Pack Of 3 White Men's Socksother | 1 in 40 | $8.99 | 3.7% | 39 | 35.6 | 1.10× |
| USB-C Cableother | 1 in 40 | $5.00 | 2.0% | 41 | 35.6 | 1.15× |
| Ibuprofenother | 1 in 40 | $4.00 | 1.6% | 27 | 35.6 | 0.76× |
| Deodorantother | 1 in 40 | $3.20 | 1.3% | 30 | 35.6 | 0.84× |
| Nail Polishother | 1 in 20 | $2.50 | 2.0% | 80 | 71.2 | 1.12× |
| Chapstickother | 1 in 13 | $2.00 | 2.4% | 119 | 106.7 | 1.12× |
| Pack of Gumother | 15.0% | $1.30 | 3.2% | 216 | 213.5 | 1.01× |
| Batteryother | 20.0% | $0.80 | 2.6% | 295 | 284.6 | 1.04× |
| Pencilother | 31.1% | $0.25 | 1.3% | 405 | 443.3 | 0.91× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 20:59 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.39%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $6.87 | 89.39% | 18 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit —