50c lottery

A box on Cases.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price
$0.49
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
96.85%
570 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
336 openings · below min
7 days
444 openings · below min
30 days
570 openings · below min
since tracking started
570 openings · below min
24.0%102.3%180.5%

Small sample. 570 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h336102.19%±77.6—sample
7d44498.49%±62.5—sample
30d57096.85%±52.1—sample
All57096.85%±52.1—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and oddsnone published

No catalogCases.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds Ă— value Ă· EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds Ă— openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

$50 Voucherother$0.49$50.00102.0x

Latest dropsnewest first

Squirtle (SVP 048)other$0.49$0.010.02x
Squirtle (SVP 048)other$0.49$0.010.02x
Squirtle (SVP 048)other$0.49$0.010.02x
Squirtle (SVP 048)other$0.49$0.010.02x
Squirtle (SVP 048)other$0.49$0.010.02x
Squirtle (SVP 048)other$0.49$0.010.02x
Squirtle (SVP 048)other$0.49$0.010.02x
Squirtle (SVP 048)other$0.49$0.010.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $50.00 (102.0x)