52 Faces
A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$20.36
Advertised RTP
89.46%
EV $18.22 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
81.27%
307 openings, odds method
Variance
2.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 307 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kith Kithmas Playing Card Setother | 1 in 100 | $180 | 9.9% | 4 | 3.1 | 1.30× |
| Palace x Bicycle Playing Cardsother | 1 in 80 | $100 | 6.9% | 4 | 3.8 | 1.04× |
| Fragment x Bicycle Playing Cardsother | 1 in 67 | $100 | 8.2% | 0 | 4.6 | 0.00× |
| Supreme Gold Foil Playing Cardsother | 1 in 57 | $97.00 | 9.3% | 5 | 5.4 | 0.93× |
| Travis Scott x Playboy Playing Cardsother | 1 in 57 | $95.00 | 9.1% | 3 | 5.4 | 0.56× |
| Bearbrick Bicycle Playing Cards Poker Setother | 1 in 36 | $62.00 | 9.4% | 12 | 8.4 | 1.42× |
| OVO x Looney Tunes Bicycle Playing Cardsother | 1 in 20 | $59.00 | 16.2% | 16 | 15.4 | 1.04× |
| Travis Scott Astroworld Playing Cardsother | 1 in 20 | $49.00 | 13.5% | 10 | 15.4 | 0.65× |
| Pack of Playing Cardsother | 80.0% | $4.00 | 17.6% | 253 | 245.6 | 1.03× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.46%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $20.36 | 89.46% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit —