All or Nothing

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price
$14.41
Advertised RTP
89.47%
EV $12.89 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
67.55%
1,367 openings, odds method
Variance
97.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 250
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
99.1%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
236 openings · below min
7 days
1,060 openings · below min
30 days
67.55%±52.361,367 openings
since tracking started
67.55%±52.361,367 openings
-0.5%110.0%220.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h23693.88%±126.0—odds
7d1,06051.92%±59.5—odds
30d1,36767.55%±52.4−0.8σodds
All1,36767.55%±52.4−0.8σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,367 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Casio G-Shock x Kithother1 in 1,000$2,64020.5%01.40.00×
CARTIER D'AMOUR NECKLACE, SMALL MODELother1 in 1,000$1,58412.3%21.41.46×
CyberPowerPC Gamer Xtreme VR Gaming PC, Intel Core i7-13700F 2.1GHz, GeForce RTX 4060 Ti 16GB, 16GB DDR5, 1TB NVMe SSDother1 in 1,000$1,43011.1%21.41.46×
SAMSUNG 55-Inch Class Neo QLED 4Kother1 in 1,000$1,37510.7%11.40.73×
SAMSUNG Galaxy S24+ Plus Cell Phone, 512GB, Marble Grayother1 in 1,000$1,33210.3%11.40.73×
Dior TEARS Ring Gold/Malachite (US M)other1 in 1,000$1,31910.2%11.40.73×
Chanel Mini Crystal Bow CC Stud Earrings Silver Hardwareother1 in 1,000$1,2609.8%11.40.73×
Supreme Box Logo Hooded Sweatshirt Camo (US S)other1 in 1,000$1,2439.6%11.40.73×
Jordan 1 Retro High OG Sail (US 8)other1 in 1,000$6004.7%11.40.73×
Bandaidother11.0%$0.350.3%151150.41.00×
Ace Keychainother11.0%$0.200.2%158150.41.05×
My Hero Academia- Ochaco #1 Buttonother11.0%$0.200.2%143150.40.95×
Floppy Diskother11.0%$0.100.1%138150.40.92×
Retro Off White Stickerother11.0%$0.050.0%159150.41.06×
Funko Pop Stickerother11.0%$0.050.0%157150.41.04×
Realistic Mushroom Pinpin11.0%$0.030.0%150150.41.00×
Rockother11.1%$0.010.0%158151.71.04×
Coin Pusher Tokenother11.0%$0.010.0%143150.40.95×
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 08:49 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Retro Off White Stickerother$14.41$0.050.00x
Bandaidother$14.41$0.350.02x
Coin Pusher Tokenother$14.41$0.010.00x
Ace Keychainother$14.41$0.200.01x
Funko Pop Stickerother$14.41$0.050.00x
RockotherVaniooo$14.41$0.010.00x
Funko Pop Stickerother$14.41$0.050.00x
Funko Pop Stickerother$14.41$0.050.00x
Funko Pop Stickerother$14.41$0.050.00x
Realistic Mushroom Pinpin$14.41$0.030.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.47%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$14.4189.47%18
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedother 100.0%best hit $1,584 (109.9x)