Ancient Gamer
A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$3.88
Advertised RTP
89.33%
EV $3.47 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
76.79%
1,225 openings, odds method
Variance
3.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 12
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
77.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Outside band, 30 days. Advertised 89.33% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (66.32% – 87.26%, 1,225 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,225 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRT Monitorother | 1 in 333 | $80.00 | 6.9% | 3 | 3.7 | 0.82× |
| DOOM 1993 CDother | 1 in 167 | $40.00 | 6.9% | 7 | 7.4 | 0.95× |
| Vintage issue of PC Gamerother | 1 in 133 | $30.00 | 6.5% | 5 | 9.2 | 0.54× |
| VisionTek ATI Radeon HD 3650 1 GB DDR2 AGP Graphics Cardother | 1 in 100 | $25.00 | 7.2% | 10 | 12.3 | 0.82× |
| Logitech TrackMan Marbleother | 1 in 100 | $25.00 | 7.2% | 9 | 12.3 | 0.73× |
| Crash Bandicoot Wrath of Cortex PS2other | 1 in 67 | $17.00 | 7.4% | 18 | 18.4 | 0.98× |
| Intel® Pentium® Processor E2160other | 1 in 67 | $16.00 | 6.9% | 10 | 18.4 | 0.54× |
| Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas PS2 CDother | 1 in 50 | $10.00 | 5.8% | 21 | 24.5 | 0.86× |
| Metal Gear Solid CDother | 1 in 50 | $8.00 | 4.6% | 15 | 24.5 | 0.61× |
| PS/2 Keyboard Mouse Splitter Cableother | 1 in 40 | $6.99 | 5.0% | 38 | 30.6 | 1.24× |
| StarCraft Shareware CDother | 1 in 40 | $6.32 | 4.6% | 23 | 30.6 | 0.75× |
| Half-Life CDother | 1 in 33 | $4.80 | 4.2% | 35 | 36.8 | 0.95× |
| Age of Empires CDother | 1 in 25 | $3.98 | 4.6% | 60 | 49.0 | 1.22× |
| 2GB DDR2 Desktop Ramother | 1 in 20 | $3.33 | 4.8% | 59 | 61.3 | 0.96× |
| The Sims CDother | 12.5% | $2.10 | 7.6% | 136 | 153.1 | 0.89× |
| Windows XP Professional Installation Discother | 14.9% | $1.77 | 7.6% | 172 | 182.5 | 0.94× |
| 40-Pin IDE Drive Ribbon Cablesother | 20.0% | $0.20 | 1.2% | 280 | 245.0 | 1.14× |
| Molex Cablesother | 24.9% | $0.15 | 1.1% | 324 | 305.6 | 1.06× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.33%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $3.88 | 89.33% | 18 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit —