Appliance Shop

A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.

Price

$75.06

Advertised RTP

89.49%

EV $67.17 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d

54.59%

88 openings, odds method

Variance

8.7×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 33

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

87.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

12 openings · below min

7 days

76 openings · below min

30 days

88 openings · below min

since tracking started

88 openings · below min

-0.5%88.3%177.0%

Small sample. 88 openings and 2.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	12	9.21%±166.9	—	odds
7d	76	51.99%±66.3	—	odds
30d	88	54.59%±61.6	—	odds
All	88	54.59%±61.6	—	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items and odds18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 88 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
LG - 5.0 Cu. Ft. HE Smart Mega Capacity All-in-One Electric Washer/Dryer WashComboother	1 in 500	$2,400	7.1%	0	0.2	—
LG - 27 Cu. Ft. Side-by-Side Smart Refrigerator with Craft Ice - Stainless Steelother	1 in 333	$1,920	8.6%	0	0.3	—
KitchenAid - Front Control Built-In Dishwasher with Stainless Steel Tubother	1 in 200	$1,200	8.9%	1	0.4	—
Samsung - 6.0 cu. ft. Smart Slide-in Gas Rangeother	1 in 100	$960	14.3%	0	0.9	—
Insignia™ - 17 Cu. Ft. Garage Ready Convertible Upright Freezerother	1 in 100	$780	11.6%	0	0.9	—
Barsys 360 Cocktail Mixer (Black)other	1 in 100	$570	8.5%	0	0.9	—
KitchenAid Classic Series 4.5 Quart Tilt-Head Stand Mixer K45SS, Onyx Blackother	1 in 100	$396	5.9%	1	0.9	—
Bartesian Duet Cocktail Machineother	1 in 100	$365	5.4%	1	0.9	—
Rachael Ray - 10-Piece Nonstick Cookware Set - Gray/Orangeother	1 in 50	$205	6.1%	0	1.8	0.00×
Insignia™ - 1.6 Cu. Ft. Over-the-Range Microwave - Stainless Steelother	1 in 100	$192	2.9%	2	0.9	—
Ninja BR201AMZ Professional Blender 2.0other	1 in 50	$162	4.8%	0	1.8	0.00×
bella PRO - 5-Speed Centrifugal Digital Juice Extractor - Stainless Steelother	1 in 50	$96.00	2.9%	3	1.8	1.70×
BELLA XL Electric Ceramic Titanium Griddleother	1 in 20	$64.00	4.8%	8	4.4	1.82×
bella PRO - 2-Slice Extra-Wide-Slot Toaster - Stainless Steelother	1 in 20	$60.00	4.5%	5	4.4	1.14×
Crock-Pot Small 2 Quart Round Manual Slow Cookerother	1 in 20	$22.00	1.6%	2	4.4	0.45×
DASH Mini Waffle Maker - 4” Waffleother	1 in 20	$11.00	0.8%	4	4.4	0.91×
Food Storage Containerother	1 in 20	$5.00	0.4%	3	4.4	0.68×
Pot Holderother	62.0%	$1.00	0.9%	58	54.6	1.06×

Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.