Arctic Elegance
A box on Cases.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Cases.gg's own item price.
Price
$10.43
Advertised RTP
89.42%
EV $9.33 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
98.48%
359 openings, odds method
Variance
3.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
72.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items and odds7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 359 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100 Steam Gift Cardother | 1 in 50 | $105 | 22.5% | 8 | 7.2 | 1.11× |
| Chemex Pour-Over Glass Coffeemakerother | 1 in 33 | $62.00 | 19.9% | 14 | 10.8 | 1.30× |
| Aatrox Teeother | 10.0% | $25.00 | 26.8% | 35 | 35.9 | 0.97× |
| Stuffed Animalother | 13.0% | $12.99 | 18.1% | 48 | 46.7 | 1.03× |
| Classic Whoopie Cushionother | 15.0% | $5.00 | 8.0% | 63 | 53.9 | 1.17× |
| The Sims CDother | 20.0% | $2.10 | 4.5% | 78 | 71.8 | 1.09× |
| Sock with a Holeother | 37.0% | $0.02 | 0.1% | 113 | 132.8 | 0.85× |
Values are Cases.gg's own item prices for physical goods; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
cases-gg:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 14:54 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.42%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $10.43 | 89.42% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedother 100.0%best hit —